The article begins with a sketch of the important features of this evolving era of multistate GPC and defines why the distribution of geostrategic power in that system is critical to analyzing the way forward. Then, it addresses the salient features of modern Great Power strategic aims and the most likely trajectory of their relative power attribut

This article focuses on the vital interactions of the three contemporary Great Powers. How will their relative power evolve? Where will they compete, and how will this impact geostrategic norms, institutions, and interstate alignments? Finally, will their competition spark direct—and likely catastrophic—armed conflict anytime soon Predicting th

The dominant geostrategic framework of international relations today is that of a Great Power competition (GPC) among three rivalrous, globally dominant states: the United States, Russia, and China. After more than two decades of mainly cooperation and collaboration, they drifted into de facto competition at the end of the 2000s.1 By the middle of